TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 8:36 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Gwangju and Jeju SK. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the standard match duration.
The event determines whether the total goals scored in the Gwangju vs Jeju SK professional Korea K League 1 soccer match scheduled for September 9, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. All markets resolve based solely on goals scored within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootout goals excluded. Each market corresponds to a different threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals meet or exceed the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the teams’ strengths and weaknesses. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, offering opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether over 5.5 goals will be scored in the Gwangju versus Jeju SK match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and evolving assessment of the event’s potential outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Gwangju versus Jeju SK match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the match will be used to determine whether over 5.5 goals were scored. The result will be sourced from official match data and verified against reliable sports news outlets, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Gwangju or Jeju SK would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Late-breaking team news, such as starting lineups or tactical adjustments, and even public sentiment shifts based on pre-match analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.