This event group covers the La Liga match between Girona FC and Athletic Club (Bilbao) scheduled for March 14, 2026. Three binary markets track the three possible outcomes: Girona win, Athletic Club win, or draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations across all three outcome markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Official La Liga statistics as recognized by the governing body; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, consensus of credible reporting sources
Core resolution logic:
Girona FC win market resolves Yes if Girona scores more goals than Athletic Club after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
Athletic Club win market resolves Yes if Athletic Club scores more goals than Girona FC after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
Draw market resolves Yes if both teams have equal goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
All markets exclude extra time and penalty shootouts from consideration
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
If match is canceled with no makeup game scheduled, Girona and Athletic Club win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played on the rescheduled date
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: Win markets (Girona and Athletic Club) resolve No; draw market resolves Yes
Delayed Official Statistics: If La Liga does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible sports reporting sources
Extra Time or Penalties: Resolution is based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty outcomes are not considered
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on March 14, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponed. Official statistics or consensus reporting must be available within 2 hours of match conclusion for immediate settlement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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