TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:35 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Daejeon Hana Citizen FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gimcheon Sangmu FC" if Gimcheon Sangmu FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Daejeon Hana Citizen FC" if Daejeon Hana Citizen FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Daejeon Hana Citizen FC, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Gimcheon Sangmu FC" if Gimcheon Sangmu FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Daejeon Hana Citizen FC" if Daejeon Hana Citizen FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets are priced by trader consensus and real money at stake. This market aggregates thousands of individual forecasts into a single probability, which can differ meaningfully from bookmaker spreads. Comparing the two reveals whether professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders agree on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Participants buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the cumulative trading activity determines the odds displayed. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and improves price accuracy. The platform's transparent order flow means all participants see the same live pricing, creating a level playing field for forecasters.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal scorer is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public reporting of the event result. Early resolution may occur if one team scores before the scheduled end time, triggering immediate settlement. Traders should monitor official match updates and team announcements to anticipate resolution timing.
Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter scoring probabilities. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and pitch quality on match day may favor attacking or defensive play. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking roster updates or referee assignments can trigger sharp price movements. Live match momentum, early chances, and possession patterns will drive the most volatile repricing in the final minutes before a goal is scored.