TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The markets evaluate the critical reception of the video game Final Fantasy Resonance by tracking its Metacritic score one week after its release. Each market corresponds to a different threshold score, reflecting varying levels of critical acclaim.
Kalshi
The markets resolve based on the Metacritic score of Final Fantasy Resonance, measured seven days after the game's release at 10:00AM ET. If no platform is specified, the first platform listed on the Metacritic page for the game will be used for the score. All markets are independent, each corresponding to a specific numerical threshold; a market resolves to 'Yes' only if the score exceeds that exact threshold. Importantly, Metacritic has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Metacritic are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by Metacritic.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many pre-release analyst forecasts. While many analysts predicted a score in the 80-85 range, this market shows a broader distribution of probabilities across potential scores. This divergence could be due to the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of factors and potential risks than traditional analysis. It’s important to remember that analyst predictions are often based on limited information and subjective opinions, while this market aggregates the views of many participants with financial incentives to be accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different Metacritic score ranges for Final Fantasy Resonance. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that score range being the actual outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price fluctuations are driven by supply and demand, with increased buying pressure raising prices and increased selling pressure lowering them. The current volume is $10,148, indicating the level of interest and trading activity in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Metacritic score for Final Fantasy Resonance is publicly available and verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to the contract corresponding to the final, published Metacritic score. It’s important to note that the score must be officially posted on Metacritic to trigger resolution. Any changes or updates to the score after the initial publication will not affect the outcome of this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Early reviews from prominent gaming publications will likely have a substantial impact, as they provide initial indicators of critical reception. Any major news regarding development issues, delays, or changes to the game’s content could also shift expectations. Furthermore, significant shifts in player sentiment, as reflected in pre-order numbers or social media discussions, could influence trading activity. Positive or negative word-of-mouth following the game’s release will be a key driver as we approach Oct 29, 2026.
