TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 5:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which player will win the third set of a tennis match between Filip Misolic and Francisco Cerundolo at the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128. The outcome depends solely on the performance of the players during that specific set, with no consideration for the overall match result. Settlement is based exclusively on who claims victory in set three, regardless of how the rest of the match unfolds.
The market resolves based on which player wins the third set of the Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo match at the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128. If the match fails to start due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, it resolves to a fair price. Postponements keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes. If either player retires during the match, markets that can be settled from completed play resolve accordingly, while unresolved markets settle at fair market price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through continuous trading, which determines the current implied probability for each outcome. The platform’s pricing mechanism responds instantly to new information, such as player form or in-game momentum swings. With total volume at $94,020, the market reflects collective trader assessment of who is likely to claim set three.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the third set will determine the final settlement, based on officially recorded match data at the event's conclusion.
Key signals include any last-minute player updates, such as injury reports or tactical changes announced by coaches, as well as shifting momentum during the early sets that could affect confidence in a third-set performance. Media commentary and expert analysis leading up to Aug 30, 2026 may also sway trader sentiment, especially if they highlight serving reliability or recent head-to-head patterns.