TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 10:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on Limitless often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment and continuous price discovery rather than fixed odds set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks manage liability and margins differently, while prediction markets aggregate thousands of individual traders' beliefs. For World Cup advancement, prediction markets may react faster to breaking news like player injuries or tactical shifts. Comparing Limitless prices to major sportsbooks reveals whether the crowd is more bullish or bearish on specific teams' knockout chances than professional oddsmakers.
The FIFA World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout market resolves on Jun 28, 2026, after all group-stage matches conclude and final standings are confirmed. Each outcome resolves to 100 cents if that team finishes in the top two of its group and advances to the knockout stage, or to 0 cents if eliminated. The resolution is determined by official FIFA records and final group-stage results. Traders should monitor their positions closely as the tournament progresses and group dynamics shift.
Key catalysts for price movement include match results within each group, which directly alter qualification odds as teams accumulate points. Injuries to star players can significantly shift probabilities for dependent teams. Head-to-head matchups between rivals in the same group create volatile trading moments. Goal differential swings late in group play can swing advancement chances dramatically. Red cards, suspensions, and tactical surprises also drive repricing. Additionally, early tournament upsets or dominant performances by underdogs reshape market expectations about which teams will finish in top-two positions and advance.