TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 21, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbahçe SK and Górnik Zabrze, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fenerbahçe SK" if Fenerbahçe SK score more goals than Górnik Zabrze in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Fenerbahçe SK and Górnik Zabrze score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Górnik Zabrze" if Górnik Zabrze score more goals than Fenerbahçe SK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbahçe SK and Górnik Zabrze, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fenerbahçe SK" if Fenerbahçe SK score more goals than Górnik Zabrze in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Fenerbahçe SK and Górnik Zabrze score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Górnik Zabrze" if Górnik Zabrze score more goals than Fenerbahçe SK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one allow traders to buy and sell shares based on their own conviction, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper odds because traders have real money at stake and face no house edge. However, sportsbooks may occasionally move faster on breaking news. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where informed traders see value relative to traditional betting venues.
This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, once the match concludes and the second half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the actual events that unfold during the second half of play—whether Fenerbahçe wins, Górnik Zabrze wins, or the teams draw. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution occurs automatically after sufficient confirmation, ensuring all participants receive fair and timely settlement based on the match's actual result.
Several catalysts could shift trader sentiment before this market resolves. Team news—such as injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments—often triggers repricing as traders reassess win probabilities. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or media outlets can sway aggregate opinion. Early match momentum, particularly if one team scores first or dominates possession in the first half, typically influences second half expectations. Weather conditions, referee assignments, or unexpected suspensions announced close to kickoff may also move odds. Real-time match events, including goals, red cards, or injuries during play, directly impact how traders price the remaining second half outcome.