TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 12:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FCI Levadia and Caernarfon Town FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FCI Levadia vs. Caernarfon Town FC match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FCI Levadia and Caernarfon Town FC, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FCI Levadia vs. Caernarfon Town FC match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market aggregates the collective forecast of thousands of traders with real money at stake, which can sometimes reveal edges that traditional oddsmakers miss. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines offers insight into where informed traders see value or disagreement on likely outcomes.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism where buying or selling shares moves the odds in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each exact score outcome trades as a separate contract, and the collective trading activity across all scorelines determines the final probability distribution. Liquidity providers help maintain tight spreads, while arbitrageurs keep prices aligned with fundamental expectations. As match day approaches and new team news or injury reports surface, traders adjust positions, causing prices to shift dynamically.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the FCI Levadia vs. Caernarfon Town match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The winning outcome is the exact scoreline at the end of regular time. Traders holding shares in the correct score receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation from official match records.
Team news, injury announcements, and lineup confirmations can significantly shift odds as traders reassess each side's attacking and defensive strength. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form streaks influence expectations around goal-scoring patterns. Betting syndicates and sharp traders often move prices ahead of public awareness, so monitoring line movement itself can signal where informed money is flowing. As match day approaches, late-breaking tactical changes or roster updates may trigger sharp repricing across multiple scorelines.