TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Juárez vs. Club Tijuana - More Markets
Volume:
$326,003
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
FC Juárez and Club Tijuana will compete in a Liga MX match on April 10, 2026 at 11:06 PM ET. This event group contains multiple related markets covering total goals (Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5), spread betting (both teams at -1.5 and -2.5 goal margins), and both teams to score. All markets resolve based on the final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use different resolution thresholds for spread markets. Polymarket offers spreads at -1.5, -2.5 for both teams, while Kalshi offers only >1.5 and >2.5 goal margins without team-specific spread designations, creating ambiguity in how Kalshi resolves when neither team wins by the specified margin.Hero Tip:
If you trade spread markets, note that Polymarket explicitly resolves to the opposing team if the spread is not met (e.g., FC Juárez (-1.5) resolves to Club Tijuana if Juárez does not win by 2+), whereas Kalshi's markets resolve to Yes only if the margin condition is met, leaving unclear resolution for non-qualifying outcomes. Verify Kalshi's fallback rule before betting.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with Kalshi on core match resolution (official ligamx.net final score, 90 minutes plus stoppage time only): Polymarket's spread markets explicitly state 'Otherwise, this market will resolve to [the opposing team]', meaning FC Juárez (-1.5) resolves YES if Juárez wins by 2+, and NO (resolves to Club Tijuana) if the margin is not met. Over/Under markets resolve based on combined goals: O/U 1.5 resolves Over at 2+ goals, O/U 2.5 at 3+, O/U 3.5 at 4+, O/U 4.5 at 5+. Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least one goal.
- Kalshi: Aligned with Polymarket on match timing and source (90 minutes plus stoppage time, official Liga MX result): Kalshi offers four binary markets: 'If Juarez wins by more than 1.5 goals...resolves to Yes', 'If Tijuana wins by more than 1.5 goals...resolves to Yes', 'If Tijuana wins by more than 2.5 goals...resolves to Yes', 'If Juarez wins by more than 2.5 goals...resolves to Yes'. However, Kalshi does not explicitly state the resolution outcome when the margin condition is NOT met (e.g., if Juárez wins by exactly 1 goal, does the >1.5 market resolve No, or is there a different fallback?).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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