TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 8:52 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Flora and The New Saints FC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Flora" if FC Flora score more goals than The New Saints FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Flora and The New Saints FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "The New Saints FC" if The New Saints FC score more goals than FC Flora in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Flora and The New Saints FC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Flora" if FC Flora score more goals than The New Saints FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Flora and The New Saints FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "The New Saints FC" if The New Saints FC score more goals than FC Flora in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have real financial skin in the game. This market's odds represent what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, which can sometimes offer a more efficient price than a sportsbook's opening line, especially as new information emerges closer to kickoff.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability quotes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the cumulative order flow determines the odds you see displayed. The more capital flowing toward one outcome, the higher its implied probability climbs. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest consensus among active participants.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second 45 minutes of play. Early resolution may occur if the match is abandoned or postponed under circumstances that prevent completion, though standard fixtures proceed to full-time and settle based on the final second-half scoreline.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff, which can shift expectations about second-half performance. First-half scoreline and momentum will significantly influence odds as traders reassess the likely outcome of the second period. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and any tactical adjustments made at halftime can also trigger repricing. Close to resolution, any red cards or further injuries during play will cause sharp market moves as the probability landscape narrows.