TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 9:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the exact final score of the FC Dallas vs. Portland Timbers MLS match scheduled for September 12, 2026. Multiple markets exist for each possible score, plus an 'Any Other Score' option. Resolution depends on the official match statistics.
In the upcoming MLS game between FC Dallas and Portland Timbers, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Dallas vs. Portland Timbers match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The event determines whether Dallas, New York G, or neither team reaches fourteen points first in the full game (including overtime) scheduled for September 13, 2026. If either team achieves this scoring milestone before the other, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team reach fourteen points at any point during the game, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements that commence within forty-eight hours of the original kickoff time do not affect resolution, which remains based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms by which they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. Prediction markets, however, are driven by the collective intelligence of traders who buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available. The current volume of $13,662 suggests growing interest in this event, and the implied probabilities may shift as traders react to news and analysis.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The differing prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market stem from variations in user base, trading activity, and platform-specific rules. Each platform attracts a different pool of traders with varying expertise and risk tolerance. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. Polymarket might see more activity from fans of one team, while Kalshi could attract more sophisticated bettors. These factors contribute to discrepancies in the implied probabilities, even though both platforms are ultimately tracking the same event – the FC Dallas vs. Portland Timbers match.