TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
Volume:
$2,408,033
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Bundesliga match between FC Augsburg and 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Augsburg win, Heidenheim win, or draw. Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms measure the same event (Augsburg vs Heidenheim on Feb 15, 2026) using identical time scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties), with aligned outcome definitions and postponement handling.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga match records (bundesliga.com)Core resolution logic:
- Resolution window is 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Augsburg win, Heidenheim win, or draw
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution
- Match must be completed on or after February 15, 2026
- If postponed, markets remain open until the rescheduled match is played
- If canceled with no makeup game, draw market resolves Yes and win markets resolve No (Polymarket) or all resolve Yes (Kalshi, as all outcomes are technically possible)
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Both platforms keep markets open until the match is completed. No early resolution occurs.
- Complete Cancellation: Polymarket draw market resolves Yes, win markets resolve No. Kalshi markets all resolve Yes (logical coverage of all possible outcomes in absence of match).
- Extra Time or Penalties: Only the 90-minute result plus stoppage time counts. Any goals in extra time or penalty outcomes are excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the final whistle of the match on February 15, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed). Markets settle within 24 hours of official Bundesliga confirmation.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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