TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK
polymarket
kalshi

Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK

Volume:
$1,667,006

Fatih Karagümrük SK

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 13, 2026

Closed: Mar 13, 1:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Fatih Karagümrük SK

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$312,414
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Karagumruk

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$269,267
N/A
N/A
$210,421
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fenerbahçe SK

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$599,070
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Fenerbahce

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$347,702
N/A
N/A
$182,930
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,974
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,579
N/A
N/A
$43,937
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Super Lig soccer match between Fatih Karagümrük SK and Fenerbahçe SK scheduled for March 13, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Fenerbahçe win, Karagümrük win, draw) and Kalshi (one ternary outcome covering all three results). Resolution depends on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical match outcome criteria (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and defer to the same primary authority (TFF/official organizers), with consistent postponement and cancellation protocols.Primary resolution logic: Turkish Football Federation (TFF) official statistics (https://tff.org/); fallback to consensus of credible reporting if official statistics not published within 2 hours of match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
  • Fenerbahçe SK win resolves Yes on Polymarket Fenerbahçe market; Fatih Karagümrük SK win resolves Yes on Polymarket Karagümrük market; draw resolves Yes on Polymarket draw market
  • On Kalshi, any of the three outcomes (Karagümrük win, Fenerbahçe win, or tie) resolves the single ternary market to Yes
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed and final outcome is determined
  • If match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket markets resolve No; Kalshi tie market resolves Yes (representing no winner determined)

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is rescheduled and completed. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match concludes.
  • Cancellation without make-up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket markets (Fenerbahçe win, Karagümrük win) resolve No; Kalshi tie market resolves Yes. This represents the absence of a decisive outcome.
  • Official statistics delay: If TFF does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may proceed using consensus from credible sports reporting sources (e.g., major sports news outlets, league databases).
  • Extra time or penalties: Resolution is based exclusively on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the match goes to extra time or penalties (e.g., in a cup competition), those results are not considered; only the 90+stoppage time score determines the outcome.
Timing: Resolution occurs within 2 hours after the match concludes (or within 2 hours after the rescheduled match if postponed). If official statistics are delayed, resolution may occur after credible reporting consensus is established, but no later than the end of the same calendar day.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.