TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 3:55 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Falkirk FC and St Mirren FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Falkirk FC" if Falkirk FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "St Mirren FC" if St Mirren FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Falkirk FC and St Mirren FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Falkirk FC" if Falkirk FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "St Mirren FC" if St Mirren FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect a broader consensus than traditional sportsbooks because they aggregate real-time trader positioning rather than relying on a single oddsmaker's model. On this market, odds can shift more dynamically as new team news, injury reports, or lineup announcements emerge. Sportsbooks typically adjust more slowly and may price in a margin for their own profit. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment diverges from professional bookmaker estimates, though both ultimately aim to price the probability of the same outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds continuously based on trader buy and sell activity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform displays the current probability as a percentage between 0 and 100, with each outcome's price reflecting the cumulative position of all participants. As traders place orders, the price moves to balance supply and demand, ensuring the market remains liquid and responsive to new information throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, after the match concludes. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal, verified against credible public sources including official match records and major sports reporting. Once the event is complete and the result is confirmed, the market settles automatically and holders of the correct outcome receive their payout. Early resolution is not typical unless the match is abandoned or postponed indefinitely.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to key forwards or defensive changes, recent form and goal-scoring trends, and head-to-head historical patterns. Lineup announcements closer to kickoff often trigger sharp price moves as traders gain clarity on starting XI composition. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any last-minute tactical shifts reported by analysts can also shift the odds. Trading volume typically spikes in the final hours before the match as informed traders make final positioning adjustments based on the latest available information.