TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Entertainment
Everything Under The Sun: First Week Pure Album Sales
kalshi

Everything Under The Sun: First Week Pure Album Sales

Aug 24, 2026, 7:00 PM EST - Nov 8, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$378
Volume 24h:
$111
35%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$238
38%

Above 20K

 - Kalshi

Above 20K - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 05d:08h:40m

Will Everything Under The Sun by Nickelback have above Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week?

33%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 97¢ buys you 103 shares | Odds: 33% Total Payout: $103 | Net Profit: $3 Multiplier: 1.03x | ROI: 3% High Projected APY: 537% 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 20K

Trade
33%
Yes 97¢No 98¢
95¢
N/A
$96
0%
0%
$2
5d 8h 40m
Active
kalshi

Above 50K

2%
1%
Yes 69¢No 100¢
69¢
N/A
$161
222%
N/A
$115
5d 8h 40m
Active
kalshi

Above 60K

1%
Yes 85¢No 100¢
85¢
N/A
$121
0%
N/A
$121
5d 8h 40m
Active
kalshi

Above 10K

N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 8h 40m
Active
kalshi

Above 15K

N/A
N/A
95¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 8h 40m
Active
kalshi

Above 25K

N/A
N/A
96¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 8h 40m
Active
kalshi

Above 30K

N/A
N/A
96¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 8h 40m
Active
kalshi

Above 40K

N/A
N/A
96¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 8h 40m
Active
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks the performance of a new album during its first week of release, focusing on how many physical and digital album units are sold in the United States. The outcome depends on whether sales meet or exceed specific thresholds set for the tracking week. Data from an independent measurement firm will determine the final result.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether Nickelback's album "Everything Under The Sun" achieves various sales milestones during the U.S. tracking week from October 30 to November 5, 2026. Multiple markets correspond to different sales thresholds—ranging from above 10,000 to above 60,000 pure album units. All markets resolve based on data reported by Luminate’s API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday following the tracking week. Luminate serves as the neutral data source and does not influence or endorse any market outcomes. The album’s performance is measured solely by pure album sales, excluding other revenue streams, and the event is confined to U.S. sales data.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate historical trends and industry insights, traders on Kalshi react to real-time signals like pre-release hype, social media buzz, and early sales indicators. This can lead to tighter or wider spreads, depending on how aligned public sentiment is with expert predictions.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of pure album sales in the first seven days after release will settle the market, closing all positions based on the officially reported numbers.

Several signals could shift this market before Nov 8, 2026. Early sales data leaks, artist appearances, social media engagement spikes, and review aggregations often influence trader sentiment. Any unexpected announcements — such as bundle deals, tour tie-ins, or controversy — may also cause rapid price swings. Monitor news feeds and real-time trading volumes for early warning signs of shifting expectations.