TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$143,246,370

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,403,290,006

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,452,035,386

405,032

Markets across

30,543

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,690

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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European Tour: Ross Smith vs Stephen Burton
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Ross Smith vs Stephen Burton?

Volume:
$24,552

Thriston Lawrence

 - Kalshi

Thriston Lawrence - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 3:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Thriston Lawrence

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,984
N/A
N/A
$15,960
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Guido Migliozzi

100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$827
N/A
N/A
$827
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joost Luiten

100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$802
N/A
N/A
$802
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fabrizio Zanotti

100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$392
N/A
N/A
$392
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Harry Hall

100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rasmus Hojgaard

100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$290
N/A
N/A
$277
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ryan Gerard

100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$265
N/A
N/A
$265
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kiradech Aphibarnrat

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$247
N/A
N/A
$247
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joakim Lagergren

100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$223
N/A
N/A
$223
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marco Penge

100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
$149
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Patrick Reed

100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
$124
Settled
Yes
kalshi

David Puig

100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$143
N/A
N/A
$143
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Adrian Meronk

100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$131
N/A
N/A
$131
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Matt Wallace

100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Davis Bryant

100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$97
N/A
N/A
$97
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Louis De Jager

100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
$86
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fred Biondi

100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
$70
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joshua Berry

100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra

100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Danny Willett

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ivan Cantero Gutierrez

100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
$45
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sergio Garcia

100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
$44
Settled
Yes
kalshi

David Law

100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$42
Settled
Yes
polymarket

European Tour: Ross Smith vs Stephen Burton

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
18¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Zander Lombard

100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33
N/A
N/A
$33
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 164

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a darts match between Ross Smith and Stephen Burton in the European Tour. The market resolves to Ross Smith if he wins, Stephen Burton if he wins, and 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner. A walkover also resolves to 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market is unrelated to the Polymarket question, creating a fundamental data integrity failure.Hero tip: Avoid trading Kalshi in this group. It is based on a completely different event and will not correlate with the Polymarket outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the Ross Smith vs. Stephen Burton darts match. Resolves to 'Ross Smith' if he wins, 'Stephen Burton' if he wins, or 50-50 for cancellation, tie, or delay.
  • Kalshi: Resolves if any of 158 golfers make the cut at the 2026 Omega European Masters. Completely unrelated to the darts match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the darts match between Ross Smith and Stephen Burton in the European Tour, originally scheduled for September 5 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ross Smith' if Ross Smith wins against Stephen Burton. This market will resolve to 'Stephen Burton' if Stephen Burton wins against Ross Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official PDC results.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified golfer makes the cut at the 2026 Omega European Masters. If the golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate, the market resolves to 'Fair Market Value' if this occurs before teeing off, and to 'No' if it happens after teeing off. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes in the Ross Smith vs Stephen Burton match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong expectation for a particular result, with a combined volume of $24,552. We aggregate data from both venues to provide a comprehensive view of market sentiment. The current 24-hour volume is $3,036, showing active trading in this market. This allows users to see how predictions evolve as new information becomes available and to compare the collective wisdom of traders on both platforms.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and profit margins, while prediction markets reflect the collective intelligence of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. The wisdom of the crowd often incorporates information not readily available to sportsbook analysts, potentially offering a more nuanced view of the likely outcome of the Ross Smith vs Stephen Burton match.