TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 1:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Estrela Amadora and Famalicao. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, reflecting different levels of scoring intensity in the game.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Estrela Amadora vs Famalicao professional Liga Portugal soccer match scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. Each market has a specific threshold: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual goals meet or exceed the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant event or when there's considerable uncertainty surrounding the game. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome, though this market represents a unique forecast in itself.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's outcome, and their collective actions determine the market price. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the latest insights and expectations surrounding the Estrela Amadora vs Famalicao match.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Estrela Amadora vs Famalicao match will be the determining factor. Official sources, such as sports news outlets and league websites, will be used to verify the final score. The contract corresponding to the correct total goals will then pay out to its holders, while other contracts will expire worthless. The outcome is based on the official match result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Estrela Amadora or Famalicao would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial changes could also shift the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly.