TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
$
Two professional tennis players compete in the quarterfinal round of a major tennis tournament. The event tracks whether a specific set in their match is completed.
On Kalshi, the Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk Set 2 Winner market is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that Svitolina wins the second set. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of traders on the platform, with Svitolina's winning chances displayed as a percentage. As traders buy and sell contracts based on match developments, serve performance, and set dynamics, the price adjusts to equilibrate supply and demand. Liquidity and trading volume on Kalshi determine how quickly prices respond to new information during the match.
The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026, or when the second set of the Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk match concludes, whichever occurs first. The outcome is determined by which player wins the second set according to official match records. Resolution occurs shortly after the set concludes and is confirmed by the tournament or match authority. Traders should monitor the official match schedule and live scoring to track progress toward resolution. Any delays or postponements in the match may affect the resolution timeline.
Several factors could shift market pricing for the Set 2 winner outcome. First-set results heavily influence second-set momentum and player confidence, so a dominant or tight opening set will likely move odds. Injury or fatigue signals during the first set—such as visible discomfort or reduced mobility—can reshape expectations for the second set. Court conditions, weather, and serve performance in early games of Set 2 itself will drive real-time repricing. Player head-to-head patterns and historical set-by-set performance data may also influence trader positioning. Live match commentary and tactical adjustments visible during play will continuously update market sentiment.