TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
A League of Legends match between two esports teams is scheduled to take place during the EMEA Masters 2026 tournament. The event will determine competitive standings in the regional championship.
If over 2.5 maps are played in the EMEA Masters 2026: Eintracht Spandau vs. Anubis Gaming League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jun 12, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have financial skin in the game. For this matchup, comparing the implied probability on Kalshi to what major sportsbooks are offering can reveal where smart money sees value. Prediction markets sometimes lead sportsbooks in pricing efficiency, especially when new roster or injury information surfaces before books adjust their lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective willingness of buyers and sellers to transact at that level, with the spread between bid and ask representing the current liquidity and conviction gap. As new information about team matchups or recent performance emerges, traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down to reflect updated expectations about the total number of maps.
This market resolves around Jun 12, 2026, once the Eintracht Spandau versus Anubis Gaming match concludes and the final map count is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources covering the event, ensuring an accurate and transparent settlement. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout based on the verified result, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact timing of resolution depends on when the match finishes and results are officially published.
Several catalysts could shift trader sentiment before resolution. Roster changes, player injuries, or lineup announcements for either team may alter perceived match competitiveness and expected map duration. Recent head-to-head results and tournament performance trends can signal which team is in better form. Meta shifts in the game itself—balance patches or map pool updates—could influence how many maps are likely to be played. Public statements from coaches or analysts, as well as betting patterns from professional teams, often precede significant price moves as informed traders position ahead of the match.