TOTAL VOLUME:
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638,386
Markets across
13,605
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,235
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
49%
VS.
Kalshi:
51%
Time left: 05d:05h:54m
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
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Trade on Predict
At 45¢ buys you 222 shares | Odds: 45% Total Payout: $222 | Net Profit: $122 Multiplier: 2.22x | ROI: 122% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
Trade on Polymarket
At 21¢ buys you 476 shares | Odds: 21% Total Payout: $476 | Net Profit: $376 Multiplier: 4.76x | ROI: 376% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolutionDescription
This event group covers all possible exact final scores for the FIFA World Cup match between Ecuador and Germany scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on the official final score at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, with an 'Any Other Score' catch-all for unlisted outcomes. Both platforms present identical resolution criteria and edge-case handling.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Primary resolution logic:
Official FIFA or governing body final match statistics; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting sourcesCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves to the exact final score at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time
- Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded from resolution
- If the actual score matches one of the 17 explicitly listed score outcomes, that outcome resolves to YES and all others to NO
- If the actual score does not match any explicitly listed outcome, the 'Any Other Score' market resolves to YES and all specific score markets resolve to NO
- Only the official final result as recognized by FIFA or the governing body determines settlement
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed and a final score is recorded
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve to Ecuador 0 - 0 Germany
- Delayed Official Statistics: If FIFA or the governing body does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours after the match conclusion, resolution may be based on consensus of credible reporting sources
- Post-Resolution Score Revisions: Any revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match score by FIFA or the governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion if official statistics are unavailablePolymarket
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Ecuador and Germany, scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Ecuador vs. Germany match originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Predict
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Ecuador and Germany, scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Ecuador vs. Germany match originally scheduled for June 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Frequently asked questions
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures. Polymarket may have deeper liquidity in certain score outcomes, pushing prices lower, while Predict might see concentrated bets on an alternative scoreline, moving odds higher there. Latency in cross-platform arbitrage, regional user preferences, and variations in how each platform markets the event can all widen spreads. Additionally, differences in platform UI, minimum bet sizes, and withdrawal friction may cause traders to cluster on one venue, creating temporary mispricings that savvy bettors can exploit.
Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups and injury reports, especially if star players are ruled out. Tactical announcements or formation changes from either coach can shift scoring expectations. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions at the venue all influence how traders reprice exact score probabilities. Betting syndicates or sharp money moving into one scoreline can trigger cascade trading. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts and social media sentiment spikes can also drive rapid repricing. Any late-breaking news—visa issues, travel delays, or political developments—may alter perceived match dynamics and exact score odds.
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