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333,737

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4,155

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion
Sports
kalshi
polymarket
predict

Which team will win the 2027 NFC Championship?

Total volume:
$6,895,631
Volume 24h:
$53,482
20%
Liquidity:
$4,936,266
0.17%
Open interest:
$384
0%

Regular Season

 - Kalshi

Regular Season - Kalshi

51%

+0%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Aug 19

Aug 21

Aug 22

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Aug 24

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Aug 26

Vol.

$90.0

·

Resolves Feb 28, 2027

Will San Francisco be eliminated in the Regular Season in the 2026-27 Pro Football season?

48%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 51¢ buys you 196 shares | Odds: 48% Total Payout: $196 | Net Profit: $96 Multiplier: 1.96x | ROI: 96% | APY: 275% 185 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 25 of 38

Intro

This market tracks whether San Francisco will be eliminated during the regular season for the 2026-27 Pro Football season, with an aggregated consensus probability of 48.0%. Data is aggregated from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, and resolves using official NFL information with credible reporting as a secondary source. The Los Angeles Rams have a second-place probability of 23.5%. Watch for developments around the regular season’s end on 2027-02-28, which could impact the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic based on official NFL results, with consistent handling of team elimination and game cancellation scenarios.Primary resolution logic: Official NFL information (https://www.nfl.com/) with credible reporting as a secondary source

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' only if the specified team wins the 2027 NFC championship game
  • If a team is eliminated from playoff contention before the NFC championship game, the market resolves to 'No'
  • If the NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or no winner is declared within that timeframe, the market resolves to 'Other'

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Team Elimination: If a listed team is eliminated in any round prior to the NFC championship game (Wild Card, Divisional, or Conference Championship), the market resolves to 'No'
  • Game Cancellation: If the NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or no winner is declared by that timeframe, all markets resolve to 'Other'
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the official declaration of the NFC championship game winner, or by March 31, 2027 ET if the game is cancelled or no winner is declaredOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The San Francisco Pro Football team's 2026-27 season advancement is divided into six distinct elimination stages. A team is eliminated in the Regular Season if it fails to qualify for the playoffs. If the team qualifies for the playoffs, subsequent elimination stages are: Wildcard Round, Divisional Round, Conference Championship, and the Championship Game (Runner-Up). The final outcome is Championship Winner if the team wins the Pro Football Championship game. Each market resolves to Yes based on the specific stage at which the team's season ends, with exactly one market resolving affirmatively per season.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The 2027 NFC Championship market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting you monitor real-time odds on which team will win the National Football Conference title heading into Super Bowl LXI. This dashboard consolidates volume and price signals from both venues, showing you consensus forecasts alongside individual platform views. You can track how odds shift as the 2026 NFL season unfolds, injuries emerge, and playoff positioning becomes clearer. The combined data reveals which teams the prediction market community favors most and how conviction changes week to week.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on traders staking real capital to express genuine beliefs about outcomes. This often means prediction markets reflect sharper, less biased probability estimates since traders face direct financial consequences for inaccuracy. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news due to dedicated risk management teams. Comparing this market across both venues and against major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus diverges and where value opportunities may exist.

Polymarket currently favors Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? at 23.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Will San Francisco be eliminated in the Regular Season in the 2026-27 Pro Football season? at 48.0%. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price differences arise because each platform attracts distinct trader demographics, liquidity pools, and risk appetites. Polymarket may draw more casual bettors, while Kalshi appeals to institutional traders with different information sets. Market depth, trading fees, and UI design also influence where volume concentrates. Monitoring both venues helps you spot arbitrage opportunities and understand which forecast carries broader conviction across the prediction market ecosystem.

This market resolves around Feb 28, 2027, once the 2027 NFC Championship game concludes and the winner is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team claims the conference title and advances to the Super Bowl. No ambiguity exists in determining a winner, making this one of the cleanest sports prediction markets to trade. Until that date, odds will fluctuate based on team performance, injuries, playoff seeding, and trader sentiment throughout the season.

Key catalysts include regular-season performance, playoff positioning, and injury updates to star players and coaches. Trades during the offseason and free agency can reshape team rosters and shift perceived championship odds significantly. Unexpected coaching changes, quarterback injuries, or defensive breakdowns will trigger sharp repricing. Head-to-head matchups late in the season often reveal which teams have genuine Super Bowl contention, causing rapid odds swings. Weather patterns, home-field advantage in the playoffs, and momentum heading into January all influence trader conviction as the championship game approaches.