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254,874
Markets across
25,282
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,045
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
43%
VS.
Kalshi:
57%
Who will win San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks?
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Latest in Sports
Time left: 01d:12h:07m
San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks
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Trade on Opinion
At 56¢ buys you 179 shares | Odds: 56% Total Payout: $179 | Net Profit: $79 Multiplier: 1.79x | ROI: 79% APY not meaningfulTrade on Polymarket
At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: 0% 6 days to resolutionTrade on Predict
At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/AIntro
This market tracks the winner of the MLB game between the San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 54.0%. Data is drawn from Polymarket, Kalshi, Predict, and Opinion, with resolution based on official final statistics from MLB.com or consensus of credible reporting if official stats are unavailable within 24 hours. Watch for the game scheduled for August 4 at 9:40 PM ET as the key catalyst for resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use the same core resolution logic based on official MLB statistics or credible reporting consensus, with consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, and ties.Primary resolution logic: Official final statistics from MLB.com or consensus of credible reporting if official stats are unavailable within 24 hoursCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves to the winning team based on the official final score
- Postponed games remain open until completed
- Canceled games or ties resolve 50-50
- First inning run market resolves to Yes if at least one run is scored by either team in the first inning, No otherwise
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Postponement: Market remains open until the game is rescheduled and completed
- Cancellation: Market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled with no make-up date
- Tie: Market resolves 50-50 if the game ends in a tie (including after extra innings)
- Delayed stats: If MLB does not publish final statistics within 24 hours, a consensus of credible reporting will be used
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 4 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Kalshi
If San Diego wins the San Diego vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 4, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona wins the San Diego vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 4, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 4 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-07 01:40 UTC: If the San Diego Padres win, the market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". If the Arizona Diamondbacks win, the market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Frequently asked questions
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game details, such as score and duration, which are checked against trusted sports databases and news sources after the match concludes.
Injuries, weather delays, and pitcher changes can shift expectations and move this market. Key moments like star player performance updates or last-minute lineup adjustments often cause rapid price swings. As the game nears, any news affecting either team’s chances—from bullpen reports to field conditions—may produce volatile movement in odds across platforms.