TOTAL VOLUME:
$108.1b
24H VOL:
$105,296,925
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,169,687,206
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,106,962,890
254,094
Markets across
24,817
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,016
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
43%
VS.
Kalshi:
57%
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Latest in Sports
Time left: 06d:08h:57m
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins
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Intro
This market tracks the outcome of the MLB game between the Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 97.0%. Data is drawn from Predict, Kalshi, Polymarket, and Opinion, with resolution based on official final statistics recognized by Major League Baseball. Watch for the game scheduled for August 5 at 7:15 PM ET as the key catalyst for resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use the same core resolution framework tied to official MLB statistics or credible reporting consensus, with consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, and ties.Primary resolution logic: Official final statistics of the event as recognized by Major League Baseball (MLB)Core resolution logic:
- Win markets resolve to the team with the final score victory
- Spread markets resolve based on point differential thresholds
- Over/Under markets resolve based on combined run totals meeting or exceeding thresholds
- First-inning markets resolve based on events occurring within the first inning only
- Extra innings market resolves to Yes if play begins beyond scheduled regulation innings
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Postponed Game: Market remains open until game is completed; if canceled with no makeup, resolves 50-50
- Tie Game: Win markets resolve 50-50; spread markets resolve to the underdog; over/under markets resolve based on threshold
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for August 5 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Kalshi
If Miami wins the Miami vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 5, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Atlanta wins the Miami vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 5, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for August 5 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-08-12 22:40 UTC: If the Pittsburgh Pirates win, the market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates". If the Miami Marlins win, the market will resolve to "Miami Marlins". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Frequently asked questions
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game record, matching the bets placed on this market. Traders can track confirmed box scores and league data sources to anticipate the final settlement, which occurs shortly after the game’s conclusion.
In the weeks before Aug 12, 2026, several signals may shift this market. Key performances from star players, pitching rotations, or injury updates for either team can reshape expectations. Weather forecasts for the game location may also influence odds if rain or other conditions could affect outcomes. Additionally, betting patterns on Polymarket and Predict — especially large trades — often preview price swings. As the event nears, any last-minute roster changes or managerial decisions could further move this market, so staying alert to news and volume spikes is essential for timing entries.