TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 11:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Ecuador and Saudi Arabia (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for May 30, 2026, 23:30 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than July 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, the outcome is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that Ecuador and Saudi Arabia will receive 4 or more combined cards. The price fluctuates based on order flow, with buyers and sellers continuously updating their bids and offers. Factors influencing the price include historical card rates for both teams, referee tendencies, player suspension records, and tactical aggression profiles. As match day approaches and more information becomes available—such as confirmed lineups and weather conditions—the price typically converges toward the true likelihood of the card threshold being met.
The market resolves on May 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final count of yellow and red cards issued to both Ecuador and Saudi Arabia combined during the match. The outcome is binary: if the total reaches 4 or more cards, the affirmative position wins; if fewer than 4 cards are issued, the negative position wins. Official match records from the governing football authority serve as the authoritative source for card tallies.
Several catalysts could shift the probability before May 31, 2026. Confirmed team lineups and injury reports may reveal whether aggressive or defensive players are available. Referee assignment announcements can influence expectations, since different officials have varying card-issuance patterns. Recent form and disciplinary records of key players matter significantly. Pre-match analysis from sports media and tactical breakdowns may highlight whether either team is expected to play a physical or cautious style. Weather conditions and venue history can also affect play intensity. Any late-breaking news about suspensions, roster changes, or motivational factors will likely trigger trading volume and price adjustments.