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DP World Tour: Danish Golf Championship First Round Leader
kalshi
polymarket

DP World Tour: Danish Golf Championship First Round Leader

Volume:
$84,466

Felix Mory

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 1:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Felix Mory

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,784
N/A
N/A
$5,743
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Felix Mory

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lucas Bjerregaard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,185
N/A
N/A
$8,355
Settled
No
polymarket

Lucas Bjerregaard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,954
N/A
N/A
$7,880
Settled
No
kalshi

Rasmus Hojgaard

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,889
N/A
N/A
$7,883
Settled
No
kalshi

Oihan Guillamoundeguy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,161
N/A
N/A
$7,161
Settled
No
kalshi

Gregorio De Leo

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,340
N/A
N/A
$6,340
Settled
No
polymarket

Gregorio De Leo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alejandro Del Rey

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,751
N/A
N/A
$4,751
Settled
No
polymarket

Alejandro Del Rey

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bernd Wiesberger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,627
N/A
N/A
$3,627
Settled
No
polymarket

Bernd Wiesberger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ivan Cantero Gutierrez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,128
N/A
N/A
$3,128
Settled
No
polymarket

Ivan Cantero

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oliver Lindell

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,127
N/A
N/A
$3,123
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeff Winther

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,151
N/A
N/A
$2,151
Settled
No
polymarket

Jeff Winther

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Marcus Helligkilde

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,065
N/A
N/A
$2,065
Settled
No
polymarket

Marcus Helligkilde

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bubba Watson

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,894
N/A
N/A
$1,894
Settled
No
polymarket

Bubba Watson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Calum Hill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,846
N/A
N/A
$1,846
Settled
No
polymarket

Calum Hill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Thorbjorn Olesen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,658
N/A
N/A
$1,658
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 269

Description

This group of markets tracks who will lead the first round of the 2026 Danish Golf Championship. The outcome depends on the player with the lowest score after the first round, with specific tie-breaking rules defined.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical criteria for determining the first-round leader, including tiebreaker procedures and cancellation/postponement handling.Primary resolution logic: Official results published by the event organizer or governing body (European Tour)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve to Yes for any listed player who has the lowest score after Round 1
  • Apply tiebreakers in sequence: back-9 score, eagles, birdies, bogeys, last name alphabetical order
  • Resolve to Other if tournament is canceled/postponed after August 30, 2026, or if no leader is declared by then

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie after all tiebreakers: Resolve in favor of the player whose last name comes first alphabetically
  • Tournament cancellation: All markets resolve to Other if canceled or postponed after August 30, 2026
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the official declaration of the first-round leader by the European Tour, or by August 31, 2026, if no leader is declared earlierOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Danish Golf Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Danish Golf Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the leader at the end of Round 1 of the 2026 Danish Golf Championship. If the specified golfer is the sole leader, the market settles at Yes; if not, it settles at No. In the event of a tie for the lead, Yes positions receive a payout of $1 divided by the number of tied participants (rounded down to the nearest cent), while No positions receive the remainder (1 minus the Yes payout). The settlement is independent of any subsequent rounds or final tournament outcomes. Kalshi disclaims official affiliation with the PGA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Danish Golf Championship first round leader market aggregates betting activity across platforms to show real-time consensus for who will lead after the opening round. This dashboard displays the current probability distribution, total volume of $84,466, and 24-hour volume of $62,635, letting traders see how the field is shaping up before tee-off. Because it pulls data from multiple venues, the view reflects broader market sentiment rather than a single exchange’s bias. The dashboard updates continuously as new bets land, giving participants a live pulse on favorite contenders and underdogs for the opening leader position in this market.

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to diverse trader perspectives and lower overheads. While sportsbooks may set prices based on broader consensus or proprietary models, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their outlook, which can create tighter spreads or sharper divergences. The gap between the two can widen if unique information or sentiment emerges, such as weather forecasts or player form updates, making this market a dynamic indicator of real-time expectations.

Key signals that could move this market include practice round scores, weather forecasts affecting course conditions, and any late changes in participant lineups. News about player injuries or equipment issues might also shift expectations, as could notable betting spikes on either platform. As the tournament approaches, any public commentary from coaches, analysts, or the players themselves may further influence trader sentiment and adjust odds rapidly.