Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B
Volume:
$2,168
Markets
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Best-of-2 (BO2) Dota 2 match between Aurora and Team Spirit scheduled for ESL One Birmingham Group B on March 22, 2026. Markets span match outcome, individual game winners, in-game statistics (kills, day/night cycle timing, Roshan/barracks destruction, multi-kill achievements), and first blood.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All Polymarket and Kalshi markets use identical cancellation, delay, forfeit, and remake logic, with dotabuff.com as the primary source and a 2-hour fallback to consensus reporting.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Dota 2 match data from https://www.dotabuff.com; if unavailable within 2 hours of event conclusion, credible consensus reporting and video evidence.
Core resolution logic:
Match Outcome (BO2 Winner): Aurora wins if they win the series; Team Spirit wins if they win the series; resolves 50-50 if cancelled, tied, delayed beyond 7 days without play, or if forfeit/disqualification/walkover occurs before series start.
Game 1/Game 2 Winner: Resolves to the team that wins the completed game; resolves 50-50 if the game is never played, not completed, cancelled, delayed beyond 7 days, or forfeited/disqualified/walked over.
Game-Specific In-Game Events (Roshan, Barracks, Ultra Kill, Rampage, First Blood, Day/Night Cycle): Resolves based on whether the condition is met during the completed game; resolves 50-50 if the game is never played, cancelled, delayed beyond 7 days, or forfeited/disqualified/walked over before the event occurs. If a game begins but is not completed via forfeit, resolution is based on whether the event occurred prior to stoppage; if not, resolves No (or 50-50 for first blood if it never occurred).
Total Kills Over/Under: Resolves Over if total kills meet or exceed the threshold (e.g., 49+ for 48.5 line); resolves Under otherwise. Resolves 50-50 if the game is never played, cancelled, delayed beyond 7 days, or not completed.
Remakes: All markets based on a remade game use only the remade game data; prior game data is disregarded unless explicitly stated (e.g., first blood prior to remake).
Series Clinch: If the series result is determined before a game is played (e.g., one team wins Game 1 in a BO2), that game resolves 50-50.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Forfeit/Disqualification/Walkover Before Series Start: BO2 match outcome resolves 50-50; individual game markets resolve 50-50.
Forfeit/Disqualification/Walkover During a Game: If a game begins but is not completed, in-game event markets resolve based on whether the event occurred prior to stoppage. If the event did not occur, resolves No (or 50-50 for first blood if it never occurred). Game winner resolves to the team that wins via opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover.
Game Never Played Due to Series Clinch: All game-specific markets (Game 1/Game 2 winner, kills, day/night, Roshan, barracks, multi-kills, first blood) resolve 50-50.
Remake: All markets resolve based on the remade game only, except first blood, which may resolve based on first blood prior to the remake if it occurred; otherwise, first blood resolves based on the remade game.
Cancellation or Delay Beyond 7 Days Without Play: All markets resolve 50-50.
Timing:
Resolution occurs within 2 hours of official match conclusion via dotabuff.com; if unavailable, consensus reporting and video evidence are used. Series outcome (BO2 winner) resolves after the series concludes (both games played or series clinched). Individual game markets resolve after each game concludes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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