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Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Volume:
$16,362

Aurora

 - Kalshi

Aurora - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 9, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Aurora

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,743
N/A
N/A
$6,681
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

MOUZ

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,292
N/A
N/A
$5,449
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Ultra Kill

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Rampage

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ends in Daytime

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Barracks

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Beat Roshan

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 64

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-3 Dota 2 match between Aurora and MOUZ in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. Markets span match outcome, individual game winners, handicaps, and granular in-game statistics (kills, Roshan kills, barracks destruction, rampages, ultra kills, day/night cycle timing, and first blood).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All Polymarket and Kalshi markets apply identical resolution logic: Dotabuff as primary source, 2-hour fallback window, 7-day delay threshold, 50-50 for cancellations/forfeits-before-play/incomplete games, and full resolution for completed games including post-play forfeits.Primary resolution logic: Official Dotabuff (https://www.dotabuff.com); credible reporting with video evidence if Dotabuff unavailable within 2 hours of event conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome (BO3): Aurora wins if they secure 2 games; MOUZ wins if they secure 2 games
  • Individual game winners: Resolved based on that specific game's winner as recorded on Dotabuff
  • Handicap (AUR -1.5 vs MOUZ +1.5): Aurora wins if they win 2+ more games than MOUZ; otherwise MOUZ wins
  • Games Total O/U 2.5: Over if 3+ games played; Under if fewer than 3
  • In-game statistics (kills, Roshan, barracks, rampages, ultra kills): Resolved based on completed game data; 50-50 if game incomplete or never played
  • Day/night cycle: Resolved based on in-game clock at moment of Ancient destruction or forfeit; hero abilities do not affect base cycle determination
  • First blood: Resolved to team securing first blood if game completed; 50-50 if game incomplete or never occurred
  • Forfeit/disqualification/walkover before play begins: 50-50 resolution
  • Forfeit/disqualification/walkover after play begins: Resolves to team that wins; if clinching game forfeited, counts as completed match
  • Game remakes: Resolution based on remade game only; prior partial play discarded

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Cancellation or 7+ Day Delay: All markets resolve to 50-50 if match is canceled entirely or delayed beyond 7 days from scheduled date (March 7, 2026) without play beginning
  • Incomplete Game with Forfeit After Play Begins: For match outcome and handicap: resolves to team that wins. For individual game markets and in-game stats: resolves based on game state prior to stoppage; if condition not met, resolves to No or 50-50 as applicable
  • Game Never Played (Forfeit Before Play): All game-specific markets (Game 1/2/3 winners, in-game stats, first blood, day/night) resolve to 50-50
  • Remade Game: All resolution based on remade game only; prior partial play or first blood before remake is discarded unless explicitly stated otherwise (e.g., First Blood in Game X resolves to team that secured it prior to remake if it occurred, else based on remade game)
  • Dotabuff Delay Beyond 2 Hours: If Dotabuff has not published final results within 2 hours of event conclusion, consensus of credible reporting and video evidence may be used as fallback source
Timing: Resolution occurs upon completion of the match (when one team wins 2 games in BO3 format) or upon official cancellation/delay determination. Fallback source (credible reporting) may be consulted up to 2 hours after event conclusion if Dotabuff unavailable.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.