TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of the album "Dopamine Chamber" by Fontaines D.C. during a specific week, focusing on how many album equivalent units it sells. Album equivalent units combine traditional sales with streaming and other metrics to reflect overall popularity. The outcome depends on whether the album meets certain sales thresholds within that timeframe.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether the album "Dopamine Chamber" by Fontaines D.C. achieves various thresholds of album equivalent units in the U.S. during the tracking week of October 16, 2026, to October 22, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different sales target, ranging from above 2,000 units to above 25,000 units. All outcomes are determined by data reported by Luminate’s API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday following the tracking week. Luminate serves as the neutral metrics provider and does not influence or endorse the prediction market outcomes. The resolution of each market is binary—either achieving the specified threshold (resolving to Yes) or not (resolving to No), with all markets sharing the same data source and reporting timeframe.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced outlook. While analysts may incorporate long-term trends and historical data, traders in this market react quickly to new social media buzz, pre-release reviews, and promotional activity, which can create divergence between the two sets of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official sales figures are reported by credible industry sources. The result will reflect the verified number of album equivalent units sold in the first week following its release, closing the market for final settlement.
Key signals that could shift this market include major social media announcements, early streaming numbers, influencer endorsements, or any unexpected changes to the release schedule. Positive or negative pre-release reviews, chart projections, and live performance metrics may also cause noticeable price swings as traders adjust their positions ahead of the final count.
