TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:15 AM EST
Kalshi
Doosan Bears and KT Wiz will play a college baseball match, allowing predictions on whether the total runs surpass designated amounts.
If Doosan Bears and KT Wiz collectively score more than 5.5 runs in the Doosan Bears and KT Wiz College Baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Doosan Bears and KT Wiz collectively score more than 7.5 runs in the Doosan Bears and KT Wiz College Baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Doosan Bears and KT Wiz collectively score more than 9.5 runs in the Doosan Bears and KT Wiz College Baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Doosan Bears and KT Wiz collectively score more than 11.5 runs in the Doosan Bears and KT Wiz College Baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook lines. This is because prediction markets allow for continuous trading and price discovery based on a wide range of participant opinions, while sportsbooks set initial lines that may be influenced by their own biases or risk management strategies. However, sportsbook odds can still offer a useful benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies between the two can sometimes present arbitrage opportunities, though these are often short-lived due to the efficiency of both markets. It’s important to consider both when evaluating the potential outcome of this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether the total runs scored in the Doosan Bears versus KT Wiz game will be over or under 7.5. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of all participants. As more people believe the total will be over 7.5, the price of 'over' contracts will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds closely align with the perceived probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final run total of the Doosan Bears versus KT Wiz game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the total runs scored exceed or fall short of 7.5. The resolution will be based on the official, final score of the game, and any potential adjustments made by the league or governing body. The market will then settle accordingly, paying out to those who correctly predicted the total runs.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Doosan Bears or KT Wiz could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly forecasts of rain that might affect scoring, would also be a major catalyst. Additionally, starting pitcher announcements can impact the perceived likelihood of a high-scoring or low-scoring game. Even general public sentiment, as reflected in social media or sports news, can contribute to price movements in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.