TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether the film *Digger* will receive a score above 50% on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer. Currently, the probability of *Digger* achieving this score on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the Tomatometer score as reported by Rotten Tomatoes, with the market resolving to Yes if the score is above 50% on October 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Keep an eye on early critic reviews as they begin to surface leading up to the film’s wide release and the October 5, 2026 resolution date.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by Digger's Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score on October 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, the Monday following the film's wide release. Each market corresponds to a specific score threshold: 45, 50, 55, 60, 65, 70, 75, 80, 85, and 90. A market resolves to Yes if and only if the Tomatometer score strictly exceeds its designated threshold value. For example, a score of exactly 75 would resolve as No for the "Above 75" market, while a score of 76 would resolve as Yes. The Tomatometer score must surpass the strike value to trigger a Yes resolution; meeting or falling below the threshold results in No. All resolution determinations use the official Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score as the authoritative source.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different Rotten Tomatoes score ranges for 'Digger'. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The current volume of $3,121,226 demonstrates active participation in shaping these probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Rotten Tomatoes score for 'Digger' is publicly available and verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual score achieved by the film. Traders will be able to see how accurately the market predicted the critical reception of 'Digger' and whether the collective wisdom of the crowd aligned with the views of professional film critics. The resolution will be based on the score published on the official Rotten Tomatoes website.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Early reviews from film festivals or pre-release screenings will likely have a substantial impact. Positive or negative buzz on social media, particularly from influential film critics and commentators, could also shift sentiment. Unexpected marketing campaigns or controversies surrounding the film could also influence trading activity. Any news related to the director, cast, or production quality of 'Digger' could also cause fluctuations in the odds as traders reassess the potential for a favorable Rotten Tomatoes score.
