TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 7:03 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to how much "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day second weekend (October 9 - 11) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to how much "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day second weekend (October 9 - 11) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different outlook than many initial analyst forecasts for the second weekend box office of “Digger”. While some analysts predicted a significant drop-off from the opening weekend, this market suggests a potentially more stable performance. It’s important to remember that analysts rely on models and historical data, while this market incorporates the collective wisdom of traders who can react to real-time news and changing expectations. This difference in perspective can create opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official second weekend box office numbers for “Digger” are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the reported domestic box office gross for the film’s second weekend in theaters, as reported by a recognized industry source. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the actual reported figures. This allows for a clear and objective determination of the market’s result.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Positive or negative critical reviews released closer to the second weekend could sway public opinion and affect attendance. Unexpected competitor releases or major news events could also draw audiences away from “Digger”. Furthermore, strong social media trends or viral marketing campaigns could generate increased interest and boost box office numbers. Any significant shifts in these areas are likely to be reflected in the trading activity and price movements within this market.
