TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 10:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This match pits Deportivo Garcilaso against FC Cajamarca in a Peru Liga 1 soccer contest. The result is determined by which team achieves a win within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not including extra time or penalties.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca professional Peru Liga 1 soccer game scheduled for July 26, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like public betting trends and house margins, prediction markets offer a more direct indication of where informed traders are placing their bets. The difference often lies in the liquidity and the speed at which information is incorporated into the price. Traders should consider both sources but recognize that Kalshi's pricing mechanism can diverge due to its unique user base and trading dynamics.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders submit bids and asks to determine the current implied probability. The top outcome’s chance reflects the aggregated expectations of participants, with liquidity and volume influencing how quickly prices adjust to new information or shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Jul 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match outcome, which is then automatically reflected in the market’s final settlement based on the rules defined by Kalshi.
Several key developments could influence this market before Jul 27, 2026. Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategies, or form during the lead-up matches may shift trader expectations. Additionally, weather conditions or any disciplinary actions could also impact perceptions of likely outcomes. Traders will watch official team announcements closely, as well as performance metrics from recent games, to gauge shifts in probability.