TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 11:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a specific player in an upcoming football game between Denver and Kansas City. It focuses on whether the player achieves certain yardage thresholds through both rushing and receiving plays. The outcome depends entirely on the player's combined yardage during the game.
The event evaluates whether Kenneth Walker III accumulates specified thresholds of combined rushing and receiving yards in the Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game scheduled for September 14, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different yardage threshold (80+, 105+, and 130+). If Walker is active for the game but does not take any snaps, all markets settle at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Walker takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets resolve based on the total rushing and receiving yards he records during the game. The thresholds are strictly numerical, and the markets are independent of each other, each resolving to 'Yes' only if the corresponding yardage mark is met.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, whereas this market’s prices are driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the most likely outcome. However, it's common to see initial discrepancies between the two, especially early in the trading period, as sportsbooks may incorporate factors not immediately reflected in the prediction market. Over time, these differences often diminish as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, while selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result of the Denver vs Kansas City yards market.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yard totals for all players in the Denver vs Kansas City game will be used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. The resolution will be based on official data sources, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Denver or Kansas City teams would be a major catalyst, as changes in player availability directly impact expected yardage totals. Weather conditions on game day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the passing and running game, shifting the probabilities. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or changes in offensive schemes could prompt traders to reassess their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.