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Dana White's Contender Series: Liam McCracken vs. Silvestre Sanchez (Lightweight, Main Card)
polymarket
kalshi

Dana White's Contender Series: Liam McCracken vs. Silvestre Sanchez (Lightweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$1,193,596

Silvestre Sanchez

 - Kalshi

Silvestre Sanchez - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 2, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 8:35 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Silvestre Sanchez

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$597,611
N/A
N/A
$334,496
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,586
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$244
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liam McCracken

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$523,111
N/A
N/A
$342,379
Settled
No
polymarket

Liam McCracken vs. Silvestre Sanchez

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70,887
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

McCracken to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
94%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
94%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sanchez to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether Liam McCracken will win his Lightweight bout against Silvestre Sanchez on the Dana White's Contender Series via KO or TKO. Currently, the aggregated probability across Polymarket and Kalshi indicates a 99.0% chance of this outcome. Resolution will be based on the official UFC declaration of the fight result. Keep an eye on the fight itself, scheduled for September 1, 2026, as the primary catalyst for determining the winner and method of victory.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets resolve using the same official UFC results and timing thresholds, with consistent handling of draws, No Contests, and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official information from the UFC

Core resolution logic:

  • Winner markets resolve to the declared winner; draws, No Contests, cancellations, or postponements resolve 50-50
  • Duration markets resolve based on whether the fight crosses specific round thresholds (e.g., 2:30 mark)
  • Method-of-victory markets resolve to Yes/No based on the official method recorded by the UFC
  • All markets default to 50-50 if the bout is not held by September 15, 2026

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Threshold Timing: If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1), it resolves 50-50
  • Disqualification: Disqualifications resolve as No for method markets and 50-50 for winner markets unless explicitly defined otherwise
Timing: Resolution occurs after the official UFC declaration of the fight result, no later than September 15, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Liam McCracken" if Liam McCracken is officially declared the winner of the fight against Silvestre Sanchez at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 4, scheduled for September 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Silvestre Sanchez" if Silvestre Sanchez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Kalshi

If Liam McCracken wins the McCracken vs Sanchez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Silvestre Sanchez wins the McCracken vs Sanchez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the McCracken vs. Sanchez fight market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of each possible fight outcome. It displays current probabilities, volume of $1,193,596, and 24-hour volume of $1,157,866 across platforms, letting you see consensus views and divergences as they emerge. This unified view helps you monitor sentiment shifts before the event concludes.