TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 11:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuel Heredia and Leonardo Storck Franca in the Curitiba, Brazil, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuel Heredia' if Samuel Heredia advances against Leonardo Storck Franca. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Storck Franca' if Leonardo Storck Franca advances against Samuel Heredia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Samuel Heredia and Leonardo Storck Franca in the Curitiba, Brazil, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Samuel Heredia' if Samuel Heredia advances against Leonardo Storck Franca. This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Storck Franca' if Leonardo Storck Franca advances against Samuel Heredia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their view, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into where the market believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, and is dynamic, changing with each trade. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result in the Heredia vs. Storck match.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Samuel Heredia and Leonardo Storck Franca. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could all impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about either Samuel Heredia or Leonardo Storck Franca’s form or strategy could also cause the market to react. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments might also influence traders’ beliefs and lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s outlook.