TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike: Global Offensive best-of-one match between Wildcard and NOMERCY in the Roman Imperium Cup Group A, scheduled for March 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Markets track the match winner, map 1 total kills parity, and map 1 total rounds parity across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Scope divergence: Polymarket resolves on the specific BO1 match outcome and map-level statistics with explicit edge-case handling; Kalshi's language conflates tournament victory with the specific match, creating ambiguity about the true resolution trigger and lacking explicit cancellation/delay rules.Hero Tip:
Traders should request explicit clarification from Kalshi on whether resolution depends on the specific Wildcard vs NOMERCY match result or the broader Roman Imperium Cup 2026 tournament outcome. Polymarket's resolution criteria are granular and auditable; Kalshi's are vague. Assume Polymarket is the safer reference until Kalshi clarifies.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Match winner (Wildcard vs NOMERCY) resolves based on head-to-head BO1 result from HLTV or credible consensus within 2 hours. Map 1 kills/rounds resolve on actual game statistics. Forfeits, walkovers, cancellations, or delays beyond 7 days resolve to 50-50. Explicit edge-case handling for remakes (use remade game only).Kalshi:
Markets state 'If NOMERCY wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: NOMERCY vs. Wildcard CS2 match' and 'If Wildcard wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: NOMERCY vs. Wildcard CS2 match' — language suggests resolution may depend on tournament-level outcome, not the specific match. No explicit tie, cancellation, or 7-day delay clause provided. Resolution source and timing are unstated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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