TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Wildcard and FarmVille in the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 29 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Wildcard" if Wildcard win the match against FarmVille. This market will resolve to "FarmVille" if FarmVille win the match against Wildcard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's Map 2 Winner market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Wildcard wins OR FarmVille wins) are specified to resolve to Yes, rendering the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's equivalent market uses standard binary logic with clear fallback rules.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's Map 2 market. The tautological resolution rule (all outcomes = Yes) violates basic market logic. Use Polymarket's Map 2 Winner market instead, which has coherent binary resolution and explicit 50-50 fallbacks for edge cases (cancellation, delay >7 days, forfeit, incomplete match). Request clarification or cancellation from Kalshi.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Map 2 Winner market has a critical logical flaw. Both 'Wildcard wins map 2' and 'FarmVille wins map 2' are stated to resolve to Yes. This is a tautology—there is no way for the market to resolve to No. Quote: 'If Wildcard wins map 2 in the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 2026: FarmVille vs. Wildcard CS2 match... then the market resolves to Yes. If FarmVille wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Map 2 Winner market uses standard binary logic: resolves to Wildcard if Wildcard wins, FarmVille if FarmVille wins. Clear 50-50 fallback for cancellation, delay >7 days, tie, forfeit, or incomplete match. Quote: 'This market will resolve to "Wildcard" if Wildcard win Map 2 against FarmVille. This market will resolve to "FarmVille" if FarmVille win Map 2 against Wildcard. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.'
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