TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs
Volume:
$102,031
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of a best-of-three (BO3) Counter-Strike 2 match between UNO MILLE and Fake do Biru in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs, originally scheduled for April 7, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. The market will resolve to Yes if either team wins the match, creating a logical inconsistency in the market structure.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides detailed, map-by-map resolution criteria with specific rules for incomplete matches, forfeits, and tie scenarios across 8 distinct markets. Kalshi provides only a single binary market with no resolution criteria specified, creating a fundamental data integrity failure where Kalshi's market is unresolvable without explicit rules.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you have no published resolution criteria to reference. Polymarket traders have 8 granular markets with explicit rules for edge cases (forfeits, delays, incomplete maps, odd/even outcomes). Kalshi's market will likely resolve based on undisclosed internal criteria or default to 50-50 if ambiguity arises. Avoid Kalshi for this event group unless Kalshi publishes detailed resolution rules matching Polymarket's standard.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket publishes 8 distinct markets with comprehensive resolution logic including Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Map 3 Winner (Odd/Even Kills and Rounds for each), Series Winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, and two Map Handicap variants. Each market specifies primary source (HLTV.org), fallback to credible reporting within 2 hours, and explicit handling of forfeits, delays beyond 7 days, incomplete matches, and 50-50 tie-breaking scenarios. Example: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi publishes a single binary market ('If Fake do Biru wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If UNO MILLE wins...then the market resolves to Yes.') with no resolution criteria, no primary source, no tie-breaking rules, no handling of forfeits or delays, and no specification of what constitutes a 'win.' The market statement is logically incomplete because both outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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