TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Guará eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Guará eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs

Volume:
$7,868

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 21, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,375
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$521
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Guará eSports (+1.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$267
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 2.5 maps

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Rounds

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between ShindeN and Guará eSports in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs, scheduled for March 20, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets span match outcome, individual map winners, map-level statistics (kills and rounds), series length, and handicap betting.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on the scope and resolution conditions for series completion. Kalshi's market resolves based on whether over 2.5 maps are played in the match, while Polymarket's markets focus on individual map outcomes, map statistics, and series winner, with different handling of incomplete series scenarios.Hero tip: If you trade on Kalshi's 'over 2.5 maps' market, your resolution depends solely on whether a third map is played. On Polymarket, individual map markets (Map 1/2/3 winners, odd/even kills/rounds) resolve to 50-50 if those maps are not played due to series clinch, but the series winner market has different forfeit handling. Ensure you understand which platform's logic applies to your position.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi's single market resolves YES if over 2.5 maps are played (i.e., 3 or more maps), with no explicit handling of forfeits or walkovers in the market description. The resolution condition is purely quantitative: 'If over 2.5 maps are played in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 2026: Guará eSports vs. ShindeN CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 11 separate markets with divergent resolution logic across series, map winners, and map statistics. The series winner market resolves 50-50 on forfeit/walkover before match start, but the 'Games Total: O/U 2.5' market counts forfeited maps toward the total if the match is completed. Individual map markets (odd/even kills/rounds, map winners) resolve 50-50 if the map is not played due to series clinch, stating 'If Map X is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Map X is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.