TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Best-of-3 Counter-Strike match between Rune Eaters and AKA HERO KAJO in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs, scheduled for March 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Markets span series outcome, individual map winners, map-level statistics (rounds and kills), and handicap betting across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi omits explicit forfeit/disqualification/walkover handling for series-outcome markets, while Polymarket mandates 50-50 resolution for pre-match forfeits but counts completed forfeited maps toward handicap and map-total markets. This creates a scope and threshold divergence.Hero Tip:
For series outcome (Kalshi vs. Polymarket main match market): clarify whether a pre-match forfeit by one team triggers an automatic win or 50-50. For map-level markets (Polymarket only): forfeited maps count toward totals only if the match is completed; if the series ends before a map is played, that map resolves 50-50. Always source from HLTV.org first; use credible reporting consensus only if HLTV has not published within 2 hours of event conclusion.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Series outcome markets (both teams) resolve to Yes if that team wins the match. No explicit handling of forfeits, disqualifications, walkovers, or incomplete matches. Implies standard sports resolution: winner is determined by match completion, method unspecified.Polymarket:
Series outcome resolves 50-50 if match is canceled, ends in tie, delayed >7 days without winner, or ends in forfeit/disqualification/walkover before play begins. If match begins and one team wins via opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover, resolves to winning team. Map-level markets (winner, rounds, kills) resolve 50-50 if map is not played due to forfeit/disqualification/walkover or series clinch. Handicap market counts forfeited maps toward total only if match is completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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