TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs WAZABI (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
Volume:
$6,638
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike best-of-one match between Phantom and WAZABI in the Parken Challenger Championship Group A, scheduled for March 31, 2026. Markets span match winner determination, map-level kill totals (odd/even), and round counts (odd/even), with resolution anchored to HLTV.org official records.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets reference tournament championship outcome (not match result), creating logical contradiction where both possible match outcomes (Phantom win or WAZABI win) resolve to Yes. Polymarket markets correctly reference match and map outcomes with consistent, resolvable logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets as stated; they contain a logical impossibility. Polymarket markets are sound: match winner resolves based on BO1 result, and map markets resolve based on kill/round counts from HLTV.org. Treat these as separate prediction universes until Kalshi clarifies whether markets should reference match outcome or tournament outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both markets collapse into a single logical statement: 'If either team wins the championship, resolve Yes.' This means Phantom winning the championship = Yes, and WAZABI winning the championship = Yes, making it impossible for either market to resolve No. The markets do not actually differentiate between the two teams' outcomes. Key quote: 'If WAZABI wins the Parken Challenger Championship 2026... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Phantom wins the Parken Challenger Championship 2026... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three independent, resolvable markets: (1) Match winner resolves to Phantom or WAZABI based on BO1 result; (2) Map 1 kills resolve to Odd or Even based on combined kill count; (3) Map 1 rounds resolve to Odd or Even based on combined round count. All require match completion and reference HLTV.org within 2-hour window. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Phantom if Phantom win the match against WAZABI. This market will resolve to WAZABI if WAZABI win the match against Phantom.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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