TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike best-of-one match between NIP and Voca in the Roman Imperium Cup Group B, scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets span match winner resolution, map-level kill totals (odd/even), and round totals (odd/even), with resolution contingent on match completion and official HLTV reporting.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets exhibit logical contradiction (both outcomes resolve Yes) and conflate tournament-level outcome with match-level outcome. Polymarket markets are independent, mutually exclusive, and well-scoped. The two platforms are measuring fundamentally different events with incompatible resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group—they are logically unresolvable. Polymarket markets are tradeable and resolvable via HLTV official match data. If Kalshi markets remain open, flag for immediate compliance review before any settlement attempt.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Two markets both tied to the same match (Mar 12, 2026) but framed as tournament outcomes: 'If Voca wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: Voca vs. NIP CS2 match... then resolves to Yes' AND 'If NIP wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: Voca vs. NIP CS2 match... then resolves to Yes'. Both conditions reference the same match but claim to measure tournament victory. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between Voca victory and NIP victory.Polymarket:
Three independent markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: (1) Match Winner: resolves to 'NIP' if NIP wins, 'Voca' if Voca wins, '50-50' if canceled/forfeited/delayed >7 days. (2) Map 1 Kill Parity: resolves to 'Odd' or 'Even' based on total combined kills, '50-50' if not played. (3) Map 1 Round Parity: resolves to 'Odd' or 'Even' based on total combined rounds, '50-50' if not played. All source to HLTV with 2-hour fallback to credible consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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