TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Subtop De France (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Lilmix vs Subtop De France?

Volume:
$339,226

Subtop De France

 - Kalshi

Subtop De France - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 1:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Subtop De France

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$102,590
N/A
N/A
$68,061
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,035
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lilmix

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$119,201
N/A
N/A
$73,357
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77,440
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: LILMIX (-1.5) vs Subtop De France (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,269
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: Subtop De France (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-3.5) vs Subtop De France (+3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-3.5) vs Subtop De France (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-3.5) vs Subtop De France (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-6.5) vs Subtop De France (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-9.5) vs Subtop De France (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-6.5) vs Subtop De France (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-9.5) vs Subtop De France (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-6.5) vs Subtop De France (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Lilmix (-9.5) vs Subtop De France (+9.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Subtop De France (-3.5) vs Lilmix (+3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Subtop De France (-6.5) vs Lilmix (+6.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

A best-of-three Counter-Strike match between Lilmix and Subtop De France in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 9:45 AM ET. Polymarket offers granular markets on individual map winners, round totals, handicaps, and match outcome. Kalshi offers a binary yes/no market on match winner.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve to the same underlying match outcome via HLTV.org with identical fallback and cancellation logic; Kalshi's binary Yes/No structure is logically equivalent to Polymarket's team-name resolution.Primary resolution logic: HLTV.org official match results; credible video evidence and consensus reporting if HLTV does not publish within 2 hours of event conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner resolves to the team that wins 2 maps in the best-of-three series.
  • Individual map winners resolve based on which team wins that map by round count.
  • Map round totals (Over/Under 21.5) resolve based on combined rounds played on that map, including overtime.
  • Map handicaps resolve based on round differential: Lilmix wins if margin is 4+ rounds; otherwise Subtop De France wins.
  • Match handicap (-1.5 maps) resolves to Lilmix if they win 2+ more maps than Subtop De France; otherwise Subtop De France.
  • Games Total (O/U 2.5) resolves to Over if 3 maps are played; Under if fewer than 3.
  • Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default count toward match and handicap resolution, provided the match is completed.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Cancellation or No-Play: If the match is canceled entirely or delayed beyond 7 days from June 28, 2026 without play beginning, all markets resolve 50-50 (Polymarket) or No (Kalshi).
  • Incomplete Map: If a map is not played to completion or is decided by forfeit/disqualification/walkover/default rather than rounds played, map-specific markets (winner, round total, handicap) resolve 50-50 (Polymarket) or No (Kalshi). Match-level markets resolve based on completed maps only.
  • Exact Round Total of 21.5: If a map's combined round total is exactly 21.5 (impossible in practice, but per rules), the Over/Under market resolves 50-50.
  • Match Forfeiture After Play Begins: If the match begins but one team forfeits mid-series, the forfeiting team loses; completed maps count toward the final score. If the clinching map is forfeited, the match is considered complete and resolves to the winning team.
  • Tie or Draw: If the match ends in a tie (e.g., 1-1 with no Map 3 played), the match resolves 50-50 (Polymarket) or No (Kalshi).
Timing: Resolution occurs upon match completion (all maps played or match concluded by forfeit/disqualification). HLTV.org must publish results within 2 hours; if not, credible consensus reporting and video evidence are used. Markets settle immediately after resolution source confirmation.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between Lilmix and Subtop De France in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lilmix" if Lilmix win the match against Subtop De France. This market will resolve to "Subtop De France" if Subtop De France win the match against Lilmix. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the CCT Europe Challengers Series 2026 CS2 match between Subtop De France and Lilmix scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 9:45 AM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi differ from traditional sportsbooks in that traders set prices through supply and demand rather than oddsmakers. This market reflects real-time belief among participants, often incorporating sharp analysis and live information faster than sportsbook lines update. Prediction market odds tend to be more efficient for niche esports events because they aggregate dispersed knowledge from the global trading community, whereas sportsbooks may have limited liquidity or slower adjustment cycles on Counter-Strike matches.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have different user bases with varying levels of esports expertise or access to real-time team information. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these spreads, but on lower-volume niche events like this one, gaps can persist longer. Platform-specific UI design and order-flow dynamics also influence how quickly new information gets priced in.

Key catalysts include roster changes, player substitutions, or injury announcements affecting either team before the match. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and map pool advantages can shift trader sentiment significantly. Live in-game performance during the series itself will also drive real-time repricing as each map concludes. Broader esports news—such as sponsorship deals, team morale updates, or meta shifts in Counter-Strike—may influence how traders assess each team's competitive positioning.