TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
Volume:
$17,990
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-3 match between Johnny Speeds and MANA eSports in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs, scheduled for April 3, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. Markets span match outcome, individual map winners, map-level statistics (kills, rounds), series length, and handicap betting across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi match winner market contains a logical tautology where both possible outcomes (MANA eSports wins OR Johnny Speeds wins) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. All other markets (map winners, statistics, handicap, series length) are unified across platforms.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi match winner market entirely due to the logical contradiction. Focus on Polymarket match outcome and all map-specific markets, which have consistent unified resolution logic across both platforms with HLTV.org as primary source and 7-day delay thresholds.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Match winner market states: 'If MANA eSports wins... then resolves to Yes' AND 'If Johnny Speeds wins... then resolves to Yes.' This is a logical tautology—both outcomes map to the same resolution, making the market unresolvable as a predictive instrument.
- Polymarket: Match winner resolves to 'Johnny Speeds' if Johnny Speeds wins, or 'MANA eSports' if MANA eSports wins. Resolves 50-50 if canceled, tied, delayed beyond 7 days, or ends in forfeit/disqualification/walkover before play begins. Source: HLTV.org within 2 hours, or credible consensus with video evidence.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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