TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group C
Volume:
$9,367
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-1 match between Gaimin Gladiators and FC Famalicão Esports in the Roman Imperium Cup Group C, scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Markets track the match winner, Map 1 kill parity, and Map 1 round parity, with resolution sourced primarily from HLTV.org.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market language conflates match outcome with tournament victory, while Polymarket clearly isolates match-level resolution. Additionally, Polymarket's three distinct markets (match winner, Map 1 kills, Map 1 rounds) have no corresponding Kalshi equivalents, creating a scope mismatch.Hero Tip:
Before trading, confirm with Kalshi whether 'wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026' means winning the Group C match or winning the entire tournament. If it means the match, Kalshi and Polymarket align on the binary outcome but diverge on edge cases (forfeits, delays). If it means the tournament, Kalshi's market is forward-looking and incompatible with Polymarket's match-day resolution. For Polymarket's Map 1 markets, verify HLTV.org's historical timeliness in publishing kill and round data; if delays exceed 2 hours, consensus sourcing may introduce disputes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three distinct markets: (1) Match winner resolves to winning team or 50-50 if canceled/tied/delayed >7 days/forfeited before start; (2) Map 1 kills odd/even resolves based on combined kills, 50-50 if Map 1 not played or series clinched; (3) Map 1 rounds odd/even resolves based on total rounds, 50-50 if Map 1 not played or series clinched. Primary source: HLTV.org within 2 hours, else credible consensus. Key quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Single binary market: resolves Yes if Gaimin Gladiators or FC Famalicão Esports wins the match scheduled Mar 13, 2026. Ambiguous phrasing suggests tournament victory rather than match victory. No edge-case handling, no explicit source, no tie-breaker logic defined. Key quote: 'If Gaimin Gladiators wins the Roman Imperium Cup 2026: FC Famalicao Esports vs. Gaimin Gladiators CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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