TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between Fluxo W7M and MIBR Academy in the CCT South America Series #10 Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 23 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win the match against MIBR Academy. This market will resolve to "MIBR Academy" if MIBR Academy win the match against Fluxo W7M. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different event scopes. Kalshi resolves based on the series winner (either team winning the BO3), while Polymarket's markets resolve on specific match outcomes (map handicap, individual map results, and map statistics). The platforms are measuring different things within the same scheduled event.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on who wins the overall BO3 series. If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on specific map outcomes and statistics within that series. A team can win the series on Polymarket's map handicap market while the other team wins on Kalshi if the series ends 2-0 or 2-1 in a way that satisfies both conditions — but the markets are fundamentally independent. Ensure you understand which platform's outcome you are actually predicting before placing a bet.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi offers only a binary series-winner market. The market resolves YES if either MIBR Academy or Fluxo W7M wins the CCT South America Series #10 2026 BO3 match scheduled for Mar 23, 2026. There is no differentiation between the two teams — both outcomes resolve to YES. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable as stated, since both possible outcomes cannot both be YES.Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers granular markets on match structure and statistics, including map handicap (FXW7 -1.5 vs MIBR +1.5), individual map winners (Map 1, Map 2), odd/even total kills per map, odd/even total rounds per map, series length (O/U 2.5 maps), and overall series winner. Each market has independent resolution criteria tied to specific map outcomes or statistical thresholds. Primary source is HLTV.org with a 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
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