TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Counter-Strike Best-of-1 match between FC Famalicão Esports and OlyBet SB in the Roman Imperium Cup Group C, scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Markets track the match winner, Map 1 kill parity, and Map 1 round parity across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction: both possible match outcomes (OlyBet SB win and FC Famalicão Esports win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are well-defined and mutually exclusive.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market until the contradiction is resolved by the platform. Polymarket's match winner and Map 1 markets are safe to trade, provided HLTV.org publishes results within 2 hours of match conclusion. Monitor for forfeits or walkovers, which trigger 50-50 resolution on Polymarket.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Match winner is binary: resolves to FC Famalicão Esports if they win, or OlyBet SB if they win. Forfeits/walkovers before match start resolve to 50-50; forfeits after start resolve to the winning team. Map 1 markets (Odd/Even Kills and Rounds) require Map 1 to be played; if not played or series already decided, resolve to 50-50. Primary source: HLTV.org within 2 hours, fallback to credible consensus. Key quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'Kalshi:
Market statement: 'If OlyBet SB wins... then Yes' AND 'If FC Famalicao Esports wins... then Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No edge case handling, no source specification, no timing guidance provided. This is a market design error.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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