TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs
Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between Fake do Biru and largadosypelados in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 26 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fake do Biru" if Fake do Biru win the match against largadosypelados. This market will resolve to "largadosypelados" if largadosypelados win the match against Fake do Biru. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary market is logically broken: both possible outcomes (largadosypelados wins OR Fake do Biru wins) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), creating a tautology. This violates fundamental binary market semantics and makes the market unresolvable and non-tradeable. Polymarket's markets are well-formed with clear, mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market should be flagged as a critical specification error and excluded from trading. All actionable markets exist on Polymarket: use the series total (O/U 2.5 maps), map handicap (LDP -1.5), individual map winners, and kill/round parity markets for price discovery. Await Kalshi platform correction or market cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Tautological resolution: 'If largadosypelados wins the match, then Yes. If Fake do Biru wins the match, then Yes.' Both mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to the same result, making the market logically incoherent and unresolvable. No mechanism exists to distinguish between the two teams or settle the market based on actual match outcome.
- Polymarket: Well-formed binary and derivative markets with clear, mutually exclusive outcomes. Series total (Over 3+ maps vs Under <3 maps), map handicap (LDP wins by 2+ maps vs Fake do Biru wins or loses by <2), individual map winners, and kill/round parity all have explicit resolution logic. Fallback to 50-50 for cancellations, delays beyond 7 days, forfeits, walkovers, and incomplete matches. Primary source: HLTV.org with 2-hour consensus fallback.
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