TOTAL VOLUME:

$53.9b

24H VOL:

$231,847,320

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,314,157,835

499,417

Markets across

14,310

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,754

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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Trending

Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs

Volume:
$79,483
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Fake do Biru and largadosypelados in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 5 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Fake do Biru" if Fake do Biru win the match against largadosypelados. This market will resolve to "largadosypelados" if largadosypelados win the match against Fake do Biru. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi's resolution criteria is logically contradictory and unresolvable. Kalshi states that the market resolves YES if either team wins, making it impossible for the market to ever resolve NO. Polymarket provides coherent, mutually exclusive resolution outcomes (Fake do Biru wins, largadosypelados wins, or 50-50 in edge cases), allowing proper settlement.

Hero Tip:

Do not trade the Kalshi match-winner market for this event—it contains a fatal logical flaw that makes settlement impossible. Use Polymarket's match-winner market instead, which has clear, mutually exclusive outcomes. If you have existing Kalshi positions, seek clarification from Kalshi support before expiration.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's match-winner market contains a logical contradiction. The resolution criteria state 'If Fake do Biru wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If largadosypelados wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, leaving no valid NO outcome and making the market fundamentally unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with sound resolution logic: Polymarket's match-winner market resolves to 'Fake do Biru' if Fake do Biru wins, 'largadosypelados' if largadosypelados wins, with 50-50 resolution only in edge cases (cancellation, tie, delay beyond 7 days, forfeit/disqualification/walkover before match start). All subsidiary markets (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, Map Handicaps, Odd/Even Kills, Odd/Even Rounds) follow consistent, coherent resolution logic tied to match outcomes or specific map statistics.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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