TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Game Hunters (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Volume:
$63,111
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of a single Counter-Strike 2 Best-of-3 match between Fake do Biru and Game Hunters in the PGL Astana South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs, originally scheduled for March 31, 2026. The market determines whether Game Hunters wins the match, with resolution tied to the official match result from the tournament.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves on match outcome only (binary: either team wins), while Polymarket's primary market resolves on map handicap (-1.5/+1.5 spread), creating different settlement values and logic. Additionally, Polymarket includes granular map-level markets (Map 1-3 winners, odd/even rounds, odd/even kills) that Kalshi does not offer, expanding the scope of resolution conditions on Polymarket.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on simple match winner (FDB or Game Hunters). On Polymarket, the main market is a map handicap spread, and you also have access to individual map outcomes and statistical markets. These resolve independently and may diverge: a team can win the match 2-1 but lose the handicap if they don't win by 2+ maps. Verify which market type you intend before placing bets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a simple binary match-winner market with no handicap or map-level granularity. The market resolves YES if either Fake do Biru or Game Hunters wins the match (the two Kalshi markets are mutually exclusive outcomes of the same match result). Resolution is based on official match outcome from HLTV.org, with no map spread or statistical conditions. Quote: 'If Fake do Biru wins the PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier 2026: Game Hunters vs. Fake do Biru CS2 match originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Game Hunters wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers a primary map handicap market (FDB -1.5 vs GH +1.5) plus eight additional granular markets covering individual map winners, odd/even round totals, and odd/even kill totals per map. The handicap market resolves to FDB if FDB wins 2+ more maps than GH, otherwise to GH. Map-level and statistical markets resolve independently based on specific map outcomes or statistics, with 50-50 fallback for unplayed maps. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Fake do Biru if Fake do Biru wins 2 or more maps than Game Hunters in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Game Hunters.' All Polymarket markets source from HLTV.org with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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